In The News

The United States and its Western allies are unprepared against a coming wave of AI cyberattacks, which frontier AI models are capable of unlocking at unprecedented speed, scale, and sophistication. Our collective defence needs to be world-class, matching the speed and competitive intensity of the AI arms race. Read my article in Canada's Geopolitical Monitor here.

NATO needs to get the cost-exchange ratio right for today's asymmetric conflicts. Only 1% of procurement goes towards innovative software-defined capabilities. Read my article for right-of-centre German political magazine Cicero here.

While some core manufacturing capabilities transfer reasonably well, auto OEMs lack AI and software capabilities. This is a partnering and scaling opportunity for startups. Read my German-language interview with the Stuttgarter Zeitung, which covers Mercedes, Porsche, Bosch and the auto supplier ecosystem here.

Read the article on Geopolitical Monitor here.

Repurposing excess automotive capacity for defence production is the biggest industrial prize on the continent. Defending democratic, open societies in a war largely fought by unmanned systems will be decided in factories before it is decided in the field. My perspective for the Center for European Policy Analysis here.

If tomorrow’s wars are fought mainly by machines, victory belongs to the power that can fuse AI with robotics and build the result by the million. Today, that is China. For the West's industrial base, it is a warning and an opportunity. Read the article on RUSI here.

Four easy fixes for German defence procurement in my German-language article for Security.Table here.

The new US$134-billion defence bank could be transformative for NATO, if only its mission were more ambitious. NATO allies don't need another lender. Canada's Defence, Security and Resilience Bank should unlock private capital by underwriting risks, not by lending. Read my OpEd in THE GLOBE AND MAIL here.

My article here on RUSI — the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, Europe's oldest defence think tank.

Modern Diplomacy article here. Will Germany succeed in swapping its engine of peace and prosperity? We are entering a historical phase where prosperity comes disproportionately from founders who take risks, and where the need for government functions to modernize has become quite urgent.

European NATO countries cannot ignore that AI speeds up military targeting by 100x. It would be naive to assume NATO adversaries are not prepared to deploy these rapidly evolving capabilities against the West to the fullest extent. Therefore, Europe needs to invest in mechanisms to deploy these capabilities in ways that are aligned with the values of our resilient democracies, and move on from the current 'head in the sand' mindset.

Five Key Measures to Boost the European Defence Tech Start-up Ecosystem — A Playbook for Governments and Regulators

Playbook — Fixing European Defence Procurement to Make Innovation Available to Militaries Faster and At Scale